Dems Take Generic Ballot Lead in Gallup Poll

The GOP is doomed!

Gallup's generic ballot for Congress for the week of Sept. 13-19 shows a 46% Democratic and 45% Republican split in registered voters' preferences for the midterm congressional elections. It is the second week out of the last three in which the two parties have been virtually tied.

Gallup's tracking shows a shift from a 49% to 43% Republican advantage in August to a 46% to 45% GOP advantage so far in September. Both of these estimates are based on very large samples, with more than 7,000 interviews conducted in August and more than 5,600 so far in September.

One might envision a situation in which a net 6-point, one week shift from one party to the other in the Gallup generic congressional poll -- and a net 11-point shift over three weeks -- would be heralded as a major development. Of course that situation would be such a shift away from the Democrats to the Republicans rather than the other way around. A shift from the GOP to the Dems is just statistical noise...