Or Maybe Common Wisdom is Wrong...

The settled opinion in some parts seems to be that the Democrats are in a much stronger position to hold the Senate than they are to hold the House. Polising reader SM chimes in with a thought experiment:

[T]he DCCC is exceptionally good at targeting, turnout and winning district-by-district, but hard right voters in safe red House districts are going to be just as motivated and enthusiastic as hard right voters in swing districts, meaning that Dems will over-perform in the House and hold on to more districts than you'd think, but under-perform in statewides, making the Senate picture actually more unpleasant than the House picture when the dust clears in November.

Along these lines, Chris Bowers tweets that "the Senate is back in play." I don't know that I would go that far. But I do agree with the sentiment expressed via email that predictions of the Democrats' loss of the House are a bit hasty given the effective machine the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has put together.