Saturday, October 30, 2010

Dems Blitz GOPers in Final Day of Early Voting in Nevada

From Jon Ralston:
Republicans lost ground to the Democrats in the urban counties on the largest and last day of early voting Friday, surely giving Democrats hope that a surge to blunt the GOP momentum could carry over into Election Day.

The GOP still maintained a lead relative to registration in urban Nevada, but Democrats kept it to under 4 percent. When the rural data is in, as well as Washoe absentees, the statewide turnout advantage for the GOP is expected to be closer to 3 percent. In 2006, after Election Day, the GOP had a 6 percent turnout advantage, but the Democrats did not have a 5 percent edge in statewide registration, as they do now. And upwards of 65 percent of the overall turnout already has occurred.
According to Ralston, about 22,000 more Democrats than Republicans have voted in urban areas of the state (Clark and Washoe counties), a nice cushion for the party given that the "GOP usually wins Election Day." And considering, as noted yesterday, that Harry Reid is pulling in a greater share of Democratic votes than Sharron Angle is of Republican votes, Reid may be in a strong position to win even before election day comes.

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